Emma is now #32 in the live rankings with her R1 win

 

Yep. Babs will have to beat her and Swiatek to overtake her in the rankings this week.

Boisson, Joint and BHM will all need to reach the F to do the same.

 

OOPs Zheng Q in Beijing so EMMA not seated
noo Sabalenka out
EMMA seeeeeded again for Beijing

 

Ok seeding situation for Beijing. With Saba out that puts Zheng into seed 8 so fingers crossed for a good R3 draw this time. Also I assume since Lena is seed 9, Emma can't draw her R3?

 

So who would be the ideal R3? Zheng returning from injury, or Pegula who she’s beaten before would be my choices.

 

i think more important is emma gets her back to full fitness, not rotating torso on ground strokes she will get pummelled by everyone in top 10, but fully healthy she will be competative. Massive difference.

Back happened in strasburg and took a while to clear, and it happened against Jaq in Seoul and it was clear emma was struggling yesterday on GS

 

Does Emma still get 35 points next match even if she loses it?

 

no, 10 points if she loses

 

Babs and Joint are out, so Emma will remain at #32

 

It is very likely Emma will finish in top 32 this year. she has no points to defend and
To get in top 24 Emma needs to gain 300-400points. She is registered to 4 more tournaments:
Beijing is 96 draw W1000: 65 points 1 win (R32), 120 points 2 wins (R16), 215 points 3 wins (QF)
Wuhan is 56 draw W1000: 120 points for 1 win (R16), 215 points 2 wins (QF)
Nigbo and Toray are W500: 60 points for 1 win (R16), 108 points 2 wins (QF), 195 points 3 wins (SF)
Emma has already played 19 tournaments this year (seriously, 19?) so WTA already took out Singapore (1 point) to . The next tournaments to go will be Abu Dhabi (1 point each), Qatar (10 points), Eastborne (30 points) and Strasbourg (60 points) so 101 points.
Emma must to reach R16 in both W1000s and QF in both W500s. If she goes one round further in one and stops one round earlier in another, she gets more points (for example 60+ 195 > 2 x 108 ). A deep run in one of them, could be enough.

Is seems doable provided that Emma stays healthy and has decent draws.

 

I don’t understand these mathematical things and so I will leave it to the ones who very clearly have more knowledge than me. But what happens if she reaches round 3 in all 4 remaining tournaments?

 

I apologize for misleading information. I updated my post above. I promise to abstain from doing any math before my morning coffee.

 

The current " LIVE" rankings according to live-tennis.eu (Which I use) has Emma at #30 with 1498 pts.
The two players above her are Yastremska & Kenin with 1544 & 1599 pts respectively after losing points.

This is as of Monday afternoon before a ball has been hit in the Beijing MD.

 

Ranking points is like Sonic the hedgehog collecting rings and then one day they go poof.

 

Emma now up to a LR of #30. With that win, she's now got a bit of a buffer over the chasing pack.

Babs, Joint and Kessler will now need to reach the QFs to overtake her. The rest below her will need at least SF+ runs.

She's also #26 in the WTA race.

 

Up to 30th in the Live Rankings with most of the players around her either out or a couple not competing only Barbie K and Joint with a realistic chance to overtake her.

 

#26 in live race

 

testing tried to post something but I had to wipe it out

 

19 Mboko---------------1791
20 Ostapenko-----------1791
21 Q. Zheng-------------1738
22 Snaider--------------1731
23 Noskova-------------1725
24 Muchova-------------1708
25 Badosa---------------1676
26 Kostyuk--------------1595
27 EMMA----------------1563
28 Yastremska----------1554
29 Fernandez-----------1524
30 Kudermetova V------1511
31 Joint------------------1462
32 Vondrousova---------1443
33 Kessler---------------1387
34 Kenin-----------------1384
35 Boisson--------------1354
36 Kasatkina------------1335
37 Kalinskaya-----------1310

 

the points above are the points earned so far towards year end rankings includes ITf which race rankings do not
its a tight race to the end.
two groups
one Mboko to Badosa for 19 to 25 position
and another Kostyuk to Joint for 26 to 31
Vondrousova is injured I think
and then Kessler to Kalinskaya who injured her ankle.
anyways its all close and any bit of a run will change things
It will be fun to follow.
Who wants to guess where every one will end up?

 

It will be fun to follow.
Who wants to guess where every one will end up?

I picked Emma to finish #17 in the 2025 Predictions thread and i'm sticking to that. She will finish above all those players you mentioned 😀

 

I find it quite interesting that Jessica Pegula was 27 before she broke into the top 20.

That's it really.

 

I find it quite interesting that Jessica Pegula was 27 before she broke into the top 20.

That's it really.

At Emma's age, she was struggling to break into the world's top 150 and had just qualified for her first slam.

A lot can change in a few years on the tour.

 

With Kessler out now she's pretty much guaranteed to stay 30th in the rankings trying to keep the positives going 🫶.

 

Yes nothing to defend but ranking are best 18 so she will need to go deeper in tournaments to improve her ranking

 

Yep. Kostyuk somehow hasn’t won a match at 500 level all year, so has a load of 1 pointers on her race points she can replace to improve her YE ranking. Emma still has 2 10 pointers to play with, so would be great if she could somehow sneak a couple wins at 2 out of the next 3 tournaments.

 

It would be interesting to see a race/ranking table from Miami onwards. That would give us her ‘current’ ranking.

As others have said, she’s virtually nothing to defend till then. I think once she can break into the top 24, she’ll be free of the top seeds in early rounds - would be meeting them in 4th round.

Winning one more match per tournament would double her points Going forward.